000 02261cam a2200313 i 4500
001 17933455
005 20160418103207.0
008 131107s2014 nju b 001 0 eng
010 _a 2013033255
020 _a9781118637920 (hb)
040 _aDLC
_beng
_cDLC
_erda
_dDLC
042 _apcc
050 0 0 _aQE538.8
_b.K32 2014
082 0 0 _a551.22 KAG/Ear
_223
084 _aSCI032000
_2bisacsh
100 1 _aKagan, Yan Y.,
_eauthor.
245 1 0 _aEarthquakes :models, statistics, testable forecasts
_b
_cYan Y. Kagan.
260 _aUK:
_bAGU Wiley;
_c2014
300 _axviii, 283 pages ;
_c26 cm.
490 0 _aStatistical physics of fracture and breakdown
504 _aIncludes bibliographical references and index.
520 _a"The proposed book is the first comprehensive and methodologically rigorous analysis of earthquake occurrence. Models based on the theory of the stochastic multidimensional point processes are employed to approximate the earthquake occurrence pattern and evaluate its parameters. The Author shows that most of these parameters have universal values. These results help explain the classical earthquake distributions: Omori's law and the Gutenberg-Richter relation. The Author derives a new negative-binomial distribution for earthquake numbers, instead of the Poisson distribution, and then determines a fractal correlation dimension for spatial distributions of earthquake hypocenters. The book also investigates the disorientation of earthquake focal mechanisms and shows that it follows the rotational Cauchy distribution. These statistical and mathematical advances make it possible to produce quantitative forecasts of earthquake occurrence. In these forecasts earthquake rate in time, space, and focal mechanism orientation is evaluated"--
520 _a"Our purpose is to analyze the causes of recent failures in earthquake forecasting, as well as the difficulties in earthquake investigation"--
650 0 _aEarthquake prediction.
650 0 _aEarthquake hazard analysis.
650 7 _aSCIENCE / Geophysics.
_2bisacsh
906 _a7
_bcbc
_corignew
_d1
_eecip
_f20
_gy-gencatlg
955 _brl07 2013-11-07
_irl07 2013-11-07 ONIX to Dewey
_axn11 2015-01-12 1 copy rec'd., to CIP ver.
_arl00 2015-01-21 to SMA
999 _c120018
_d120018